538 Presidential Polls 2024 Results.  — the former state lawmaker, and “only working farmer” in the senate, trails his republican opponent, tim sheehy, a former navy seal and aerospace. 538 uses polling, economic and demographic data to explore likely election.

An interactive electoral map derived from 538’s probabilistic model for the 2024 presidential election. Winning a contingent election, following his exit from the 2024 presidential race.